By Duncan J. Watts
ISBN-10: 0385531680
ISBN-13: 9780385531689
Why is the Mona Lisa the main well-known portray on the earth? Why did fb be successful while different social networking websites failed? Did the surge in Iraq rather result in much less violence? How a lot can CEO’s influence the functionality in their businesses? And does greater pay incentivize humans to paintings hard?
If you think that the solutions to those questions are an issue of good judgment, reconsider. As sociologist and community technology pioneer Duncan Watts explains during this provocative e-book, the reasons that we supply for the results that we detect in life—explanation that appear noticeable after we comprehend the answer—are much less important than they seem.
Drawing at the most recent medical learn, besides a wealth of old and modern examples, Watts exhibits how logic reasoning and heritage conspire to lie to us into believing that we comprehend extra concerning the global of human habit than we do; and in flip, why makes an attempt to foretell, deal with, or control social and monetary platforms so usually move awry.
It turns out seen, for instance, that individuals reply to incentives; but coverage makers and bosses alike often fail to count on how humans will reply to the incentives they bring. Social developments frequently appear to have been pushed by means of yes influential humans; but sellers were not able to spot those “influencers” upfront. And even supposing winning items or businesses consistently look on reflection to have succeeded as a result of their distinct characteristics, predicting the characteristics of the subsequent hit product or sizzling corporation is notoriously tough even for knowledgeable professionals.
Only by means of realizing how and while logic fails, Watts argues, do we enhance how we plan for the long run, in addition to comprehend the present—an argument that has vital implications in politics, enterprise, and advertising and marketing, in addition to in technological know-how and lifestyle.
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Extra resources for Everything Is Obvious: *Once You Know the Answer
Example text
A bored (or bored-in) lock is installed by cross-boring two holes—one for the cylinder and one for the bolt mechanism. Warded, lever tumbler, disc tumbler, and pin tumbler are names that describe a lock’s internal construction. 1 A trailer lock guards against towaway theft of unattended boat, camping, snowmobile, horse, mobile home, and utility trailers. 2 The U-shape design is common for bicycle locks. 3 A key-in-knob lock is one of the most common locks used on homes. 4 A lever lock is basically a key-in-knob lock with levers rather than knobs.
7 Most of a mortise lock is installed in a cavity or cutout. 8 Warded bit key locks come in rim and mortised styles. 9 Warded padlocks are for low-security applications. (Master Lock Company) 41 42 Chapter Three Warded locks A ward is a fixed projection designed to obstruct unauthorized keys from entering or operating the lock. One old type of warded lock comes in a metal case, has a large keyhole, and is operated with a bit key (commonly called a skeleton key). Such locks, called bit-key locks, come in mortised and surfacemounted styles, and are often used on closet doors and cabinets (Fig.
These blanks will fit a variety of American locks. Notice that in Fig. 16 Representative sampl- ing of standard key blanks. (Taylor Lock Company) Types of Locks and Keys 51 is further laid out to incorporate a master key system and that, from the cross section, you can identify the various keyways that will fall into this particular master key system. 18 shows another keyway system with the applicable blanks. Notice that within this key series there are three different key lengths, which allow for wider use of the master key system.
Everything Is Obvious: *Once You Know the Answer by Duncan J. Watts
by David
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